Alberta, Canada
DS

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Projections

best/likely/worst scenarios • factors

single viewstrategy

October18,2027

Next Election

46%

UCP Projection

40%

NDP Projection

Medium

Confidence

Scenarios

  • Scenarios

  • Best Case

    Best Case • UCP: 52% • NDP: 36% • Other: 12% • Likely • UCP: 46% • NDP: 40% • Other: 14% • Worst Case • UCP: 42% • NDP: 44% • Other: 14%

Key Factors

  • Key Factors

  • +5

    Economic Conditions • Improving • Healthcare Performance • Declining • Federal Politics • Stable • Leadership Review • Improving

Key Risks

  • Key Risks

  • Healthcare Crisis Escalation

    Healthcare Crisis Escalation • Separation Narrative Backlash • Recall Petition Success